000 WTUS82 KMLB 131806 HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 131803- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 ...MAJOR INLAND HURRICANE WIND EVENT SHAPING UP FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... ...HURRICANE WARNINGS RAISED FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE... ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH... WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 2 AM SATURDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 150 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY HAS CONTINUED SHIFTING MORE TO THE RIGHT TODAY AND STRENGTHENING...GREATLY INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS TYPE OF HURRICANE SCENARIO HAS NOT OCCURRED SINCE HURRICANE DONNA IN 1960. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE ORLANDO METRO AREA AND THE REST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE NIGHT. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING. RESIDENTS MUST RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR WINDS FROM CHARLEY. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE INTO SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER WITH FRIENDS OR RELATIVES OR SEEK SAFETY IN SHELTERS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS OPENED. THIS HAS BECOME A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. MAKE ANY LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS BUT BE PREPARED TO SHELTER IN PLACE BY THIS EVENING. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL STORM SURGE AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED FROM CHARLEY PRIMARILY IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 7PM TONIGHT. BY THE NEXT HIGH TIDE AROUND 7AM SATURDAY THE EFFECTS OF CHARLEY SHOULD BE RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. AS SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP ALONG PARTS OF THE COAST THIS EVENING...VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL SET UP WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY IN BREVARD COUNTY AND THEN LATER THIS EVENING IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. THIS COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN LOW AREAS... SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE COULD BRING A SMALL SURGE TO SOUTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY...POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE OKEE TANTIE CAMPGROUND WHICH HAS BEEN EVACUATED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IN SPOTS AS CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY. PLACES ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO SERIOUS FLOODING. IMPORTANTLY...LOCATIONS CLOSEST TO THE CENTER TRACK OF CHARLEY STAND TO RECEIVE THE MOST RAIN. ...MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD SHORE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH IS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. A TORNADO WATCH IS OUT FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES SOUTHWARD AND WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. AN OUTBREAK OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF OUTER RAINBANDS WILL MOVE INTO OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING THE TORNADO THREAT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB $$