WTUS82 KMLB 070355
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
071000-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1155 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN STILL FORECAST TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
INLET TO TITUSVILLE...INCLUDING ALL OF MERRITT ISLAND. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER
BEACH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT EMPHASIZES ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE INTERIOR COUNTIES
OF OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE AND LAKE SHOULD STAY
CLOSELY INFORMED SINCE THERE IS SOME FORECAST UNCERTAINTY DURING THE
DEVELOPMENT PHASE OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT
145 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. THE DEPRESSION IS
DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH. A VERY SLOW DRIFT
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY. IF IT
DOES...THE SYSTEM WILL BE NAMED OPHELIA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS
SHOULD CHECK THE LATEST FORECAST FIRST THING IN THE MORNING...AND
MAKE THE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS TO THEIR DAY ACCORDINGLY. REVIEW
PERSONAL OR BUSINESS ACTION PLANS AND REPLENISH HURRICANE SUPPLY
KITS...SHOULD THE SYSTEM INTENSIFY MORE RAPIDLY THAN FORECAST.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT ARE STRONGLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND GUSTS IN SQUALLS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS OVERNIGHT TO INCLUDE MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. SEAS ARE ALREADY 8 TO 10 FEET AND
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVERNIGHT...WITH SEAS LIKELY REACHING TO
AROUND 12 FEET IN THE WARNED AREA ON WEDNESDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL
WATERS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER BANDS FROM THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ARE ALREADY AFFECTING EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOCAL AMOUNTS AROUND 2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. HIGHER AND
MORE WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS...BETWEEN 5 AND 10 INCHES...MAY
OCCUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES
AND CONTINUES ITS SLOW MOVEMENT. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ARE EXPECTED
TO START ALONG THE COAST OVERNIGHT IN PASSING SQUALLS. ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY START TO
IMPACT PARTS OF THE COASTLINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR BREVARD COUNTY NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL. CURRENTLY...
THEIR ARE NO INLAND WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE TYPICAL FOR A TROPICAL STORM.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE PERSISTENT...LONG FETCH OF INCREASING ONSHORE
FLOW...BATTERING WAVES WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES FOR THE THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AROUND THE
TIME OF EACH HIGH TIDE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...LEADING TO A MAJOR
BEACH EROSION EVENT. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE OVER BREVARD
AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES...WHERE THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR TWO
DAYS OR MORE. AGAIN...THIS COULD RESULT IN MAJOR BEACH EROSION IN
SOME AREAS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
AN OFFSHORE ATLANTIC SYSTEM MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA USUALLY RESULTS IN A VERY LOW THREAT FROM TORNADOES IN THE
OUTER RAINBANDS. IF A BRIEF TORNADO WERE TO OCCUR...IT WOULD BE
CONFINED MAINLY TO THE COASTAL ZONE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$