NWS

Fire Weather Forecast for Mid South Zone 4

.DISCUSSION...

COLD AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MIDSOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
SLIDE SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
TURN GENERALLY TO THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY LATE TONIGHT AND
MOVE EASTWARD MONDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY AS A WARM FRONT PUSHES INTO THE AREA.
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING WITH SHOWERS LIKELY
AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE MOSTLY BETWEEN
1/4 AND 3/4 OF AN INCH. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT
BY TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW MAINLY FROM THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL INTO PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE.


CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
433 AM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      46 (+13)     30 (+7)      62
RH % (24H TREND)      32 (-38)     87 (+2)      37
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   S 9-13 G23
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   W 3-7        LGT/VAR      S 11-15 G23
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1189                      1263
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3901                      4144
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1310                      1384
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   4298                      4541
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   W  5                      S 15
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      S 35
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     6550                      20760
CATEGORY DAY          3                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 36                        56
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NW  3                     S 14
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NW  7                     S 31
DISPERSION INDEX      32           17           98
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3
LVORI                 2            0            0
STABILITY             B            F            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
Page dynamically generated at: 17:25 UTC March 3, 2013
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Fire Weather Forecast for Mid South Zone 4
