MIAAFDJAX
TTAA00 KJAX 271345
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
940 AM EDT TUE MAY 27 1997
CDFNT JUST S OF LHW-AHN-CHA ATTM WI VRY WRM W-NW FLO OUT AHEAD OF IT
IN CWA. TEMPS ALREADY INTO UPR 70S/LO 80S...SO A FEW PLACES IN SE GA
WL NEED TO COME UP AS CDFNT MOVS TO AYS-JAX BY 18-20Z AND THEN TO SGJ-
VLD BY 00Z WED. MRNG SOUNDING UNSTBL ENUF AS IS...BUT WHEN MIDIFIED IT
VRY UNSTBL (CAPE 4000-4500 AND LI -9/-10). MSTR SOMEWHAT LIMITED
THIS MRNG BUT WL BE ON THE INCRS THRU-OUT THE DAY...AND WI CDFNT AND
AFTRN SEA BRZ OFF GLF AND PSBL OFF ATLC...AND OLD OUTFLO BNDRYS IT
CUD BE QUITE ACTIVE THIS AFTRN. POPS WL LKLY NEED TO COME UP IN ALL
AREA AT LEAST A CAT.
IN CWF...I WUD RECOMMEND BREAKING GAZ501 INTO AT LEAST 2 GROUPINGS...SAY
AT FERNANDINA. WNDS OVR N LEG OF GAZ501 ARE ALREADY N-NW AND FBIS1
IS ALREADY NE 15 KTS. I THINK ALL AREAS OF GAZ501 WL SHFT TO NE THIS
AFTRN...BIT SLGTLY HIER WNDS OVR GA WTRS THAN FL AREA.
MOHLIN