Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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176
FLUS44 KMAF 221948
HWOMAF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
248 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-232000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
248 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014 /148 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AGAIN
TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...
INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN ONE INCH WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS...WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN... VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY
54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS. ABUNDANT
RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THESE AREAS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO RAISE
CONCERNS FOR MORE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND
TONIGHT DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY
RAINFALL ON BOTH SIDES OF THE RIVER. TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO
THE PECOS RIVER... SUCH AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE
DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN RIVERS...ROCKY ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK
RIVER...DELAWARE RIVER...AND WALNUT CANYON HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING
AS FLOOD WAVES MOVE DOWN CANYONS. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN CARLSBAD
AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH FLOOD WAVES MOVING DOWN CANYONS AND THE
PECOS RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN THAT FALLS IN THOSE AREAS WILL
CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES...IF NOT FLOODING. ALSO LINGERING FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS IN BORDEN AND SCURRY COUNTIES IS STILL A
CONCERN. FINALLY FLOODING ALONG THE PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO
PECOS/BARSTOW IS STILL ONGOING AS IS MINOR FLOODING ON THE
COLORADO RIVER AT COLORADO CITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CREST UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

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