Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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676
FNUS54 KMAF 251007
FWFMAF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
507 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS DUE TO
HOT...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY
EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS DUE TO HOT...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER WILL BE FOCUSED IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS WHERE THE WINDIEST AND DRIEST CONDITIONS
OVERLAP. MEANWHILE PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN CONTINUE TO DRY OUT AND
THE TRANS PECOS IS ALREADY VERY DRY. MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THURSDAY
WITH STRONGER WINDS IN THESE SAME AREAS HOWEVER IT MAY EXPAND AND THE
VAN HORN...DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN MAY NEED TO
BE ADDED TO THE WATCH OR WARNING.

&&

FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

NMZ114-TXZ258-261015-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
507 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016 /407 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72 TO 80 ABOVE 6000 FEET...80 TO 88 BELOW
                      6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUST.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE INCREASING TO 6 HIGH THIS AFTERNOON.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 57.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH ABOVE 6000
                      FEET...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BELOW 6000
                      FEET.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH DECREASING TO 5 MODERATE OVERNIGHT.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...76 TO 81
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET...WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH
                      SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
                      AFTERNOON. BELOW 6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS
                      20 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER
70S BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
LOWER 80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN
THE LOWER 80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

NMZ115-261015-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-
407 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....91 TO 96.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 38 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH DECREASING TO 5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 90.
*    24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 50 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......15400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-261015-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN HORN...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...
PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON
507 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016 /407 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 90 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...98 TO 103
                      ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000
                      FEET...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000
                      FEET.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 33 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....57 TO 62 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...55-75
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000
                      FEET...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000
                      FEET.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH DECREASING TO A 5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 87 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...96 TO 101
                      ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20-25
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 5000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15
                      MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE
                      AFTERNOON. BELOW 5000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS
                      15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 50 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......16900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 33 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH ABOVE
5000 FEET...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE
5000 FEET...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-261015-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...PECOS...MENTONE...
KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...
MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...DRYDEN...SANDERSON
507 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....94 TO 99.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 33 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....66 TO 71.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH DECREASING TO A 5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 90S.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14800 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 32 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.

$$

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