Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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235
FNUS54 KMAF 210948
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast FOR West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
Nantional Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
448 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns are low through midweek. A cold front that
moved through the area has resulted in below normal temperatures
and increased moisture. Moisture will continue to increase with
widespread rain chances through Tuesday. Cool temperatures will
continue through midweek, but a significant warming and drying
trend looks to begin next Wednesday into next weekend.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

NMZ114-TXZ258-221000-
Guadalupe Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains NP and Pine Springs
348 AM MDT Sun May 21 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....66 to 71 above 6000 feet...72 to 77 below
                      6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........45-55 percent.
*    24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........East winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....30 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 15 mph.
* Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 19 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/120300 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....51 to 56.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........75-95 percent above 6000 feet...80-100
                      percent below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....40 percent.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 10 to 15 mph.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s above 6000 feet...80 to 85
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........25-35 percent above 6000 feet...20-30 percent
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 6000 feet, southeast winds 5 to 10 mph
                      shifting to the southwest 10 to 15 mph in the
                      afternoon. Below 6000 feet, southeast winds
                      10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest in the
                      afternoon.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....40 percent.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height.......17000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 24 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Breezy, cooler. Highs in the upper 60s above
6000 feet...in the lower 70s below 6000 feet. Northeast winds 15 to
20 mph above 6000 feet...northeast 20 to 25 mph below 6000 feet.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the upper 70s above 6000 feet...
in the lower 80s below 6000 feet. South winds 10 to 15 mph above
6000 feet...south 5 to 10 mph below 6000 feet. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s above 6000 feet...in the
lower 90s below 6000 feet. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

NMZ115-221000-
Southeast Plains-
348 AM MDT Sun May 21 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........40-50 percent.
*    24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....20 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 15 mph.
* Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/140700 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....In the mid 50s.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........80-100 percent.
*    24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....40 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 10 to 15 mph.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....79 to 84.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....50 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 15 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height.......17300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 22 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the upper 90s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-221000-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-
Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-Big Bend Area-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Alpine, Fort Davis, Presidio,
Marfa, Big Bend NP, and Marathon
448 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 /348 AM MDT Sun May 21 2017/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....69 to 74 across the mountains...82 to 87
                      along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........50-60 percent across the mountains...45-55
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........East winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................4.
* Chance of precip....50 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...South around 15 mph.
* Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 22 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Good/93400 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....In the mid 50s across the mountains...in the
                      upper 60s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........80-100 percent across the mountains...70-90
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....50 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....79 to 84 across the mountains...89 to 94
                      along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........30-40 percent across the mountains...35-45
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....30 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest around 15 mph.
* Mixing height.......16000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s across the mountains...in the
upper 80s along the Rio Grande. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph above
5000 feet...northeast 10 to 15 mph below 5000 feet. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s across the mountains...in
the lower 90s along the Rio Grande. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s across the mountains...
around 103 along the Rio Grande. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-221000-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Pecos, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
448 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....73 to 78.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........50-60 percent.
*    24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................4.
* Chance of precip....50 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 15 mph.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 22 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/125100 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....In the upper 50s.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........75-95 percent.
*    24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................4.
* Chance of precip....50 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 10 to 15 mph.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....80 to 85.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........40-50 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....40 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 15 mph.
* Mixing height.......15200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 18 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/142300 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the upper 90s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

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  • Southern Region Headquarters
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  • Fort Worth, TX 76102
  • Page Author: NWS Fort Worth
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  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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