Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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308
FNUS54 KMAF 051903
FWFMAF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
203 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...

DRY AIR OVER THE REGION WILL RESULT IN POOR RECOVERY AREAWIDE
TONIGHT.   SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AREAWIDE FRIDAY, AND BEGIN
TO BRING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK TO THE REGION AND KEEP MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RH/S ABOVE 15 PERCENT EAST OF A SE NM TO BIG BEND LINE
DESPITE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.  SOME LOCATIONS IN THE GUADALUPES AND SE
NM PLAINS COULD FLIRT WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS,
ESPECIALLY AROUND 07/00Z.  ALSO, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE MARFA PLATEAU, AND DAVIS AND GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS.  DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THAT FORM.  SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE INTO FRIDAY EVENING, WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR A WETTING RAIN
IN THESE SAME AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT.  THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE GUADALUPES AND
SE NM PLAINS WILL HINGE ON WHETHER THESE AREAS RECEIVE RAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT.

&&

FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

NMZ114-TXZ258-061630-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
203 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016 /103 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 50S.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80 ABOVE 6000 FEET...82 TO 87 BELOW
                      6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH..BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                      15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......16700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 32 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE MID
                      50S BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........25-45 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...30-50 PERCENT
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING
                      SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...77 TO 82
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25
                      MPH. BELOW 6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
                      15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 50 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...SUNNY...BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...
IN THE LOWER 70S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE MID
70S BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET...WEST
15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW
15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
UPPER 70S BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

NMZ115-061630-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-
103 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 50S.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........35-55 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 80S.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......18200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84 TO 89.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                      SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 50 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......16100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-061630-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN HORN...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...
PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON
203 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016 /103 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 57 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER
                      60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...35-55
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000
                      FEET...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000
                      FEET.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 87 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE 5000
                      FEET...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......18000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 26 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                      PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........35-55 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET...
                      SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
                      MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20-25
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 5000 FEET...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
                      INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE
                      AFTERNOON. BELOW 5000 FEET...SOUTH WINDS 15
                      TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......20000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 34 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID 90S
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
LOWER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE
5000 FEET...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN
THE MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE
5000 FEET...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-061630-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...PECOS...MENTONE...
KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...
MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...DRYDEN...SANDERSON
203 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
*    24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 92.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO
                      30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......17300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 35 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88 TO 93.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......20000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 33 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

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