Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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468
FNUS54 KMAF 062004
FWFMAF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
304 PM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER
MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON WILL PERSIST UNTIL MID
EVENING. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND DRY LIGHTNING LIKELY.

A DRYLINE WILL SET UP SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NORTH-SOUTH MORE OR LESS
ALONG THE TEXAS-NEW MEXICO BORDER.  TO THE WEST OF THIS FEATURE STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS ARE FORECAST.  RED FLAG WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FROM SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO SOUTH TO THE TEXAS BIG BEND SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. EAST OF THE
DRYLINE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

BEYOND SUNDAY...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST. THE NEXT DECENT
CHANCE OF MEASURABLE RAIN WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

NMZ114-TXZ258-071630-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
304 PM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016 /204 PM MDT FRI MAY 6 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 50S.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........25-45 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...35-55 PERCENT
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                      10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................3 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...75 TO 80
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25
                      MPH IN THE MORNING. BELOW 6000
                      FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                      MORNING.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 41 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET...47 TO 52
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                      WEST 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...70 TO 75
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO
                      35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...SUNNY...BREEZY. HIGHS AROUND 70 ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
MID 70S BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...AROUND
80 BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...AROUND
80 BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET...WEST
5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW
15 PERCENT.

$$

NMZ115-071630-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-
204 PM MDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 50S.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 87.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......18100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....48 TO 53.
*    24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING WEST 10
                      TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 TO 81.
*    24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                      SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......16600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-071630-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN HORN...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...
PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON
304 PM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016 /204 PM MDT FRI MAY 6 2016/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                      PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...40-60
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE 5000
                      FEET...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 5000
                      FEET.
* LAL.................3 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
                      MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...15-20
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 5000 FEET...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH
                      SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE
                      AFTERNOON. BELOW 5000 FEET...SOUTH WINDS 10
                      TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......20000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 38 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 56 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER
                      70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...45-65
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10
                      TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 TO 80 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...15-20
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......20000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
LOWER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN
THE MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN
THE UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-071630-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...PECOS...MENTONE...
KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...
MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...DRYDEN...SANDERSON
304 PM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 92.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......20000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 33 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......19800 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 38 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

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