Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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890
FNUS54 KMAF 170931
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast FOR West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
Nantional Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
331 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Expect critical fire weather conditions will occur along and either
side of the Pecos river from southern Eddy and Lea counties, to
north of the Terrell County between 17/18Z-18/00Z.  20 foot wind
speeds will likely be 20 to 35 mph sustained in these areas, while
relative humidity drops to around 15 percent.  West to northwest
winds will actually be higher farther west over the higher terrain,
especially in the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains, but minimum
afternoon RH/s will likely stay above 15 percent.  Near critical
fire weather conditions are expect over the Permian Basin where
minimum RH/s will be 10-15 percent, but wind speeds are not expected
to be strong enough, long enough, for critical conditions.  Winds
will diminish this evening with fair recovery expected over the
Permian Basin, and good elsewhere.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

NMZ114-TXZ258-180945-
Guadalupe Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains NP and Pine Springs
231 AM MST Fri Feb 17 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....57 to 62 above 6000 feet...62 to 67 below
                      6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 30 to 40 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........6 high.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest around 40 mph.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 36 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....39 to 44.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-75 percent above 6000 feet...60-80 percent
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 6000 feet...20 to 25 mph after midnight.
                      Below 6000 feet...15 to 20 mph after midnight.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest 20 to 25 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the upper 50s above 6000 feet...61 to 66
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........20-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........2 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 30 mph.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 23 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 50s above 6000 feet...in the mid
50s below 6000 feet. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s above 6000
feet...around 60 below 6000 feet. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s above 6000 feet...in the
upper 60s below 6000 feet. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent.

$$

NMZ115-180945-
Southeast Plains-
231 AM MST Fri Feb 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST
THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....71 to 76.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to
                      west 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........6 high.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest around 40 mph.
* Mixing height.......11100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the lower 40s.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest 20 to 25 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....67 to 72.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 30 mph.
* Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 23 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-180945-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-
Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-Big Bend Area-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Alpine, Fort Davis, Presidio,
Marfa, Big Bend NP, and Marathon
331 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017 /231 AM MST Fri Feb 17 2017/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....60 to 65 across the mountains...in the upper
                      70s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent across the mountains...15-20
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 5000 feet...west winds 20 to 25 mph
                      increasing to 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon.
                      Below 5000 feet...southwest winds 15 to 20
                      mph shifting to the west 20 to 30 mph in the
                      afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest around 45 mph.
* Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 41 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....41 to 46 across the mountains...in the upper
                      40s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-75 percent across the mountains...45-65
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph above 5000
                      feet...west 15 to 20 mph below 5000 feet.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 25 to 35 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....64 to 69 across the mountains...around 80
                      along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 5000 feet...west winds 5 to 10 mph
                      shifting to the south 10 to 15 mph in the
                      afternoon. Below 5000 feet...southwest winds
                      5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
                      afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 40 mph.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s across the mountains...in the
mid 70s along the Rio Grande. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s across
the mountains...in the lower 70s along the Rio Grande. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph above 5000 feet...northwest 10 to 15 mph below
5000 feet. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s across the mountains...in the
upper 70s along the Rio Grande. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph above
5000 feet...northwest 5 to 10 mph below 5000 feet. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-061>063-069-070-082-180945-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Ector-
Midland-Glasscock-Upton-Reagan-Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Odessa, Midland, Garden City,
McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Dryden, and Sanderson
331 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........15-20 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 40 mph.
* Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 29 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the mid 40s.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........50-70 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest 25 to 35 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 30 mph.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/108000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.

$$

TXZ058>060-067-068-075-180945-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving-Winkler-Ward-Crane-Pecos-
Including the cities of Pecos, Mentone, Kermit, Monahans, Crane,
and Fort Stockton
331 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the
                      west 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 35 mph.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 41 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the upper 40s.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Northwest 20 to 30 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 35 mph.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 23 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

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  • Southern Region Headquarters
  • 819 Taylor Street, Room 10A06
  • Fort Worth, TX 76102
  • Page Author: NWS Fort Worth
  • Web Master: SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov
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  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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