Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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916
FNUS54 KMAF 231937
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast FOR West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
Nantional Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
137 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST /7 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND MOST OF WEST TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FOOT WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE
GUADALUPE, DAVIS, AND APACHE MOUNTAINS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO,
GAINES COUNTY, VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR, AND REEVES
COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...

.DISCUSSION...

Strong, gusty west winds are occurring across Southeast New
Mexico and most of West Texas this afternoon.  With relative
humidity near or below 10 percent, and high to extreme Fire Danger
due to record- breaking temperatures 15-20 degrees above normal,
critical fire weather conditions are expected through early
evening.  RH recovery overnight and Friday night will be only poor
to moderate.  A cold front will bring cooler temperatures Friday,
but very dry air will remain in place and gusty winds behind the
front could result in critical fire weather conditions across
Southeast New Mexico, the Guadalupe, Davis, and Apache Mountains,
and the adjacent plains.  RH will bottom out at 5-15% Friday
afternoon, and 10-20% Saturday.  Critical fire weather conditions
will be possible again Sunday through Tuesday of next week.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

NMZ114-TXZ258-241700-
Guadalupe Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains NP and Pine Springs
1237 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).  Patchy blowing
                      dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....In the lower 30s above 6000 feet...33 to 38
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........20-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 30 to 40 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 60 to 70 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the lower 50s above 6000 feet...55 to 60
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 25 to 35 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 70 mph.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....26 to 31.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........25-45 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 6000 feet...west winds 20 to 25 mph.
                      Below 6000 feet...west winds 20 to 30 mph
                      becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph after
                      midnight.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 35 to 45 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the lower 50s above 6000 feet...56 to 61
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                      southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 40 mph.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 34 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Sunny, breezy.  Highs in the mid 50s above 6000 feet...
around 60 below 6000 feet.  West winds 20 to 25 mph.  Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Breezy.  Highs in the upper 50s above
6000 feet...in the lower 60s below 6000 feet.  Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph above 6000 feet...southwest 20 to 25 mph below 6000 feet.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, breezy.  Highs in the mid 50s above 6000 feet...in
the lower 60s below 6000 feet.  West winds 20 to 25 mph.  Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent.

$$

NMZ115-241700-
Southeast Plains-
1237 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).  Patchy blowing
                      dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....35 to 40.
*    24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to
                      15 mph after midnight.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 50 to 60 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
* Max temperature.....61 to 66.
*    24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 65 mph.
* Mixing height.......11000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 36 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the upper 20s.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-50 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 25 to 35 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....59 to 64.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........North winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                      10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 45 mph.
* Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 31 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the mid 60s.  Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.  Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.  Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ079>081-241700-
Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-Big Bend Area-
Including the cities of Presidio, Marfa, Big Bend NP, and Marathon
137 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....39 to 44 across the mountains...in the lower
                      50s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent across the mountains...45
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph above 5000
                      feet...west 15 to 20 mph below 5000 feet.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 40 to 50 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 60s across the mountains...in the
                      lower 80s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph above 5000
                      feet...west 15 to 20 mph below 5000 feet.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 60 mph.
* Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 29 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....30 to 35 across the mountains...in the lower
                      40s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent across the mountains...25-35
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 25 to 35 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the lower 60s across the mountains...in
                      the upper 70s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 5000 feet...west winds 10 to 15 mph.
                      Below 5000 feet...northwest winds 5 to 10 mph
                      shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 35 mph.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s across the mountains...in
the lower 80s along the Rio Grande.  Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs around 70 across the mountains...in
the lower 80s along the Rio Grande.  West winds 10 to 15 mph.  Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s across the
mountains...in the mid 80s along the Rio Grande.  West winds 15 to
20 mph above 5000 feet...west 10 to 15 mph below 5000 feet.  Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ057-074-241700-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Alpine, and Fort Davis
137 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017 /1237 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST /7 PM MST/ THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).  Patchy blowing
                      dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....40 to 45.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........25-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 50 to 60 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
* Max temperature.....61 to 66.
*    24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 65 mph.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 32 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the lower 30s.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 35 to 45 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....62 to 67.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 35 mph.
* Mixing height.......10100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.  Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs around 70.  West winds 15 to 20 mph
above 5000 feet...southwest 10 to 15 mph below 5000 feet.  Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the upper 60s.  West winds 20 to
25 mph above 5000 feet...west 15 to 20 mph below 5000 feet.  Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ082-241700-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Dryden and Sanderson
137 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 50.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 35 to 45 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
* Max temperature.....74 to 79.
*    24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 50 mph.
* Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 32 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 40.
*    24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 30 to 40 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....Around 70.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........North winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east
                      10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 35 mph.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 24 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/114600 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the upper 70s.  South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the upper 70s.  West winds 5 to
10 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the lower 80s.  West winds 10 to
15 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ046>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-241700-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Including the cities of Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton,
Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
and Fort Stockton
137 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).  Patchy blowing
                      dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....42 to 47.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 45 to 55 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the upper 60s.
*    24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 65 mph.
* Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 32 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the lower 30s.
*    24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........45-65 percent.
*    24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 25 to 35 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....62 to 67.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........15-20 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 45 mph.
* Mixing height.......10100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Very good/116000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the mid 70s.  Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the mid 70s.  West winds 10 to
15 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the upper 70s.  Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ045-058-241700-
Gaines-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Including the cities of Seminole and Pecos
137 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).  Patchy blowing
                      dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....42 to 47.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........25-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to
                      15 mph after midnight.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 50 to 60 mph.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....66 to 71.
*    24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 65 mph.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 32 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....30 to 35.
*    24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........35-55 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West 25 to 35 mph.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....63 to 68.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                      south in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 45 mph.
* Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the lower 70s.  Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny.  Highs in the mid 70s.  West winds 10 to
15 mph.  Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.TUESDAY...Sunny.  Highs in the mid 70s.  West winds 15 to 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

44

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  • Southern Region Headquarters
  • 819 Taylor Street, Room 10A06
  • Fort Worth, TX 76102
  • Page Author: NWS Fort Worth
  • Web Master: SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov
  •  
  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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