Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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416
FNUS54 KMAF 270904
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast FOR West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
Nantional Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will push southwest to the Pecos River before stalling
this morning, but minimum RHs will still drop to 10-15 percent
areawide this afternoon as temperatures warm to 5-10 degrees above
normal.  Southwest winds over portions of the Guadalupe Mountains
and SE NM Plains will be 15-25 mph sustained this afternoon, and
since isolated critical conditions could occur in the Guadalupes,
will issue a Fire Danger Statement for these areas.  After poor
recovery west, good recovery east tonight, fire weather concerns
will increase Tuesday as an upper storm system approaches.  Will
issue a Fire Weather Watch for locations along and west of a
Seminole to Fort Stockton line.  More critical fire weather could
occur Wednesday, but mainly over southwest Texas.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

NMZ114-TXZ258-280915-
Guadalupe Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains NP and Pine Springs
304 AM MDT Mon Mar 27 2017

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....Around 70 above 6000 feet...72 to 77 below
                      6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 30 mph.
* Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 27 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....47 to 52.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........30-50 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 15 to 20 mph above 6000 feet...
                      southwest 15 to 20 mph below 6000 feet.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 30 to 40 mph.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the lower 60s above 6000 feet...63 to 68
                      below 6000 feet.
*    24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25
                      to 35 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 50 mph.
* Mixing height.......15500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 44 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Breezy. Highs in the upper 50s above 6000 feet...in the lower 60s
below 6000 feet. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s above 6000 feet...in the
lower 70s below 6000 feet. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, breezy. Highs in the upper 60s above 6000 feet...in
the mid 70s below 6000 feet. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

NMZ115-280915-
Southeast Plains-
304 AM MDT Mon Mar 27 2017

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                      south 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 25 mph.
* Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 24 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 50.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........40-60 percent.
*    24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* Wind 20FT...........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 25 to 35 mph.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....70 to 75.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20
                      to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 50 mph.
* Mixing height.......16700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 43 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ079-081-280915-
Presidio Valley-Big Bend Area-
Including the cities of Presidio, Big Bend NP, and Marathon
404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s across the mountains...in the
                      lower 90s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........10 percent across the mountains...5 percent
                      along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 5000 feet...southwest winds 10 to 15
                      mph. Below 5000 feet...west winds 5 to 10 mph
                      shifting to the south 10 to 15 mph in the
                      afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 25 mph.
* Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 18 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the mid 50s.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent across the mountains...80-100
                      percent along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 5000 feet...south winds 10 to 15 mph.
                      Below 5000 feet...southeast winds 5 to 10 mph
                      shifting to the west after midnight.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........6 high.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 25 to 35 mph.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....In the mid 70s across the mountains...in the
                      lower 90s along the Rio Grande.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Above 5000 feet...west winds 10 to 15 mph
                      increasing to southwest 15 to 20 mph in the
                      afternoon. Below 5000 feet...west winds 5 to
                      10 mph increasing to southwest 15 to 20 mph
                      in the afternoon.
* LAL.................2.
* Chance of precip....20 percent.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 35 mph.
* Mixing height.......20000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 41 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s across the mountains...in
the mid 80s along the Rio Grande. West winds 15 to 20 mph above
5000 feet...west 10 to 15 mph below 5000 feet. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s across the mountains...in
the upper 80s along the Rio Grande. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s across the mountains...in
the lower 90s along the Rio Grande. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph
above 5000 feet...southwest 10 to 15 mph below 5000 feet. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ057-074-080-280915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-
Marfa Plateau-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Alpine, Fort Davis, and Marfa
404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017 /304 AM MDT Mon Mar 27 2017/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....78 to 83.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 30 mph.
* Mixing height.......11800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 22 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....47 to 52.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........30-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........6 high.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 20 to 30 mph.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....75 to 80.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to
                      southwest 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........6 high.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 50 mph.
* Mixing height.......18100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 46 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ046>048-051>053-061>063-068>070-082-280915-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-
Crane-Upton-Reagan-Terrell-
Including the cities of Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Stanton, Big Spring,
Colorado City, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Crane, McCamey, Rankin,
Big Lake, Dryden, and Sanderson
404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....80 to 85.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                      southeast 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 30 mph.
* Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 17 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....In the upper 50s.
*    24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........80-100 percent.
*    24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 25 to 35 mph.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....In the lower 80s.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........South winds 15 to 20 mph.
* LAL.................3.
* Chance of precip....50 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 50 mph.
* Mixing height.......18500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 40 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

TXZ045-050-058>060-067-075-280915-
Gaines-Andrews-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-Loving-Winkler-
Ward-Pecos-
Including the cities of Seminole, Andrews, Pecos, Mentone, Kermit,
Monahans, and Fort Stockton
404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....80 to 85.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........10 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...West around 25 mph.
* Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....52 to 57.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........5 moderate.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest 20 to 30 mph.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....79 to 84.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-15 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* Wind 20FT...........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to
                      west 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* LAL.................2.
* Chance of precip....20 percent.
* Haines Index........4 low.
* Wind 10000 FT MSL...Southwest around 50 mph.
* Mixing height.......18800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 46 knots.
* Ventilation cat.....Excellent/150000 knot-ft.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.

$$

  • National Weather Service
  • Southern Region Headquarters
  • 819 Taylor Street, Room 10A06
  • Fort Worth, TX 76102
  • Page Author: NWS Fort Worth
  • Web Master: SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov
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  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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