Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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768
FNUS54 KMAF 220807
FWFMAF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
307 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING
FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20
MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20
FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...


.DISCUSSION...
DRY...WARM AND BREEZY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS TODAY AS THE DRYLINE PUSHES
INTO THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS PECOS. MIN RH/S WILL
DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT BEHIND THE DRYLINE...AND GIVEN 20 FT WINDS
EXPECTED TO EXCEED 20 MPH IN THE GUADALUPE MTNS...A RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THAT AREA. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SAME AREA AGAIN MONDAY. NOCTURNAL RECOVERY WILL BE POOR
ACROSS THE WEST BEHIND THE DRYLINE...IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD TO THE EAST.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS THE PERMIAN
BASIN/LOWER TRANS PECOS...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

NMZ114-TXZ258-230815-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
307 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016 /207 AM MDT SUN MAY 22 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....78 TO 83 ABOVE 6000 FEET...83 TO 88 BELOW
                      6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 29 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 50S.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20
                      MPH. BELOW 6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
                      20 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....77 TO 82 ABOVE 6000 FEET...83 TO 88 BELOW
                      6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14800 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
LOWER 80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
LOWER 80S BELOW 6000 FEET. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
UPPER 70S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE
6000 FEET...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

NMZ115-230815-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-
207 AM MDT SUN MAY 22 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                      THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED
                      SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED
                      THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                      SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....56 TO 61.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 92.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15
                      TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......17500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-230815-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN HORN...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...
PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON
307 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016 /207 AM MDT SUN MAY 22 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                      THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83 TO 88 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER
                      90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...35-45
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 58 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...75-95
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83 TO 88 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...94 TO 99
                      ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...25-35
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......18400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 23 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS...IN THE UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
UPPER 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE
5000 FEET...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-230815-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...PECOS...MENTONE...
KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...
MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...DRYDEN...SANDERSON
307 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
                      CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT
                      CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 92.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                      MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........75-95 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90 TO 95.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......16600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

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