Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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253
FNUS54 KMAF 231901
FWFMAF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
201 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO.  A STRONG COLD FRONT SUNDAY WILL USHER IN THE COLDEST WEATHER
OF THE FALL SO FAR.  RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVER OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT WILL BE MODERATE TO EXCELLENT.  RHS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT 20-45
PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND 40-80 PERCENT SUNDAY.

&&

FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

NMZ114-TXZ258-241630-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
101 PM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....54 TO 59 ABOVE 6000 FEET...57 TO 62 BELOW
                      6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...76 TO 81
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...20-30 PERCENT
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................1.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                      MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...54 TO 59
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........35-55 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...40-60 PERCENT
                      BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE
                      LOWER 60S BELOW 6000 FEET.
*    24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
* LAL.................4.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 35 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/128000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  BREEZY.
HIGHS AROUND 50 ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE LOWER 50S BELOW 6000 FEET.
NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.  HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE LOWER
60S BELOW 6000 FEET.  NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER 60S BELOW 6000 FEET.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT.

$$

NMZ115-241630-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-
101 PM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....59 TO 64.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                      WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 87.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                      SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                      MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....58 TO 63.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                      NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................3.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S.
*    24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................4.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 37 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S.  NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S.  SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ057-074-079>081-241630-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN HORN...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...
PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON
201 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016 /101 PM MDT FRI SEP 23 2016/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN
                      THE LOWER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                      AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....77 TO 82 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID
                      90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                      SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.................4.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/126700 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN
                      THE LOWER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...65-85
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* LAL.................4.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN
                      THE UPPER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...55-65
                      PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.
*    24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000
                      FEET...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000
                      FEET.
* LAL.................5.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 35 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/92500 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID 70S ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE.  NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.  HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE
MID 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS
AROUND 70 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER 80S ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE.  EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-241630-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...PECOS...MENTONE...
KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...
MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...DRYDEN...SANDERSON
201 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
*    24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................2.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 80S.
*    24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................4.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 26 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S.
*    24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........75-95 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LAL.................5.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....70 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S.
*    24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
*    24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* LAL.................5.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHEAST AROUND 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 41 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/86000 KNOT-FT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S.  NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.  HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.  HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S.  EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.

$$

44

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