Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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827
FXUS64 KMAF 222305
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
505 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light to moderate southwest to west winds
expected the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Current sfc observations show winds continuing to decrease across
West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, w/strongest activity over the
Big Bend/lwr Trans Pecos as the tail-end of strong winds rounding
the base of the upper trough leaves the region.  As such, all wind
warnings/advisories have been allowed to expire.

WV imagery shows the upper trough now over the Arklamiss, and
subsidence on the backside of this feature has resulted in CAVU
conditions across the region under NW flow aloft.  To the west, an
upper ridge will briefly build into the area Monday, w/thicknesses
increasing and downslope warming pumping temps into the 70s most
locations.  Unfortunately, an upper trough will move out of the
PacNW and into the upper Midwest by Tuesday afternoon, shunting the
ridge to the east and pushing a cold front into the region under SW
flow aloft.  Attm, winds throughout the CWA look to remain below
high wind criteria, although advisories may be needed in the
mountainous areas out west.  In addition, RH down in the Big Bend
may reach 15% or less Tuesday afternoon, and this will need to be
monitored.  ERCs are still below normal, but Fire Danger is high.

Temps will drop with the Pac front Tuesday, but a secondary front
Wednesday will take temps below normal.  Unfortunately, these temps
won`t budge much into the extended, as another front reinforces
colder temps Friday, and a dry trough moves thru over the weekend.
Thru this all, rain chances look slim to none, and the grids remain
dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     36  73  45  65 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       36  70  45  60 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         42  73  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  42  78  50  66 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 39  59  38  51 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          34  68  41  58 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          29  69  40  61 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           37  73  45  62 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         38  72  45  64 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           35  73  42  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10

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  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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