Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 182338

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
538 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

00Z TAF issuance.

No major aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions
expected to persist at all terminals. Gusty westerly winds will
diminish this evening then slowly veer to the NW overnight ahead of
an approaching cold front. The front is expected to move south
through most terminals around 10-12Z Thursday morning with NE
winds in its wake, prevailing through the morning.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 223 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015/


A broad upper level trough is over the central conus today with west
to northwest flow over the CWA.  Temperatures today will warm up to
near normal values with most places across the Permian Basin
experiencing highs in the mid to upper 60s.  A weak cold front will
move into the area on Thursday cooling temperatures down a few
degrees but conditions are expected to remain dry.  Temperatures are
expected to warm back up on Friday into the upper 60s to lower 70s
across much of the area as south to southwest surface winds return.

Another upper trough will move over the Central Plains Friday
night/Saturday morning sending a cold front southward into the CWA
on Saturday morning. Surface winds look to be gusty behind this
front.  High temperatures on Saturday are expected to be in the
upper 40s and 50s across the area. There is a slight chance of rain
across the Lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend for Saturday.  Much of the
Permian Basin will likely experience its first freeze on Sunday
morning with low temperatures plummeting into the lower 30s and
the upper 20s. Freeze Watches and Warnings may be needed for this
time. Temperatures will gradually warm up through next Wednesday
and the models are indicating rain spreading across the Big Bend
area on Monday and Monday night. Slight chances of rain will
continue across the area into Wednesday as another upper trough
approaches from the western conus.





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