Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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171
FXUS64 KMAF 012317
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
609 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.  Winds will
primarily be out of the southwest this evening and overnight.  A
cold front will come through the area around 15z Thursday which will
bring in gusty north to northwest winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 230 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...
Large upper level trough across the Rockies will move east to the
plain states by Thursday. A weak surface trough from the central
Permian Basin to the lower Trans Pecos will remain nearly stationary
this evening before pushing east later tonight as the upper trough
shifts eastward. Upper level forcing and low level convergence
is forecast to be negligible east of the surface trough this
evening, so am not expecting more than isolated thunderstorms at
best, across the eastern Permian Basin this evening. Cold front
associated with the aforementioned upper trough will move through
the forecast area Thursday dropping high temperatures back several
degrees to more normal values. Will continue dry forecast Thursday
due to the better upper level forcing and low level convergence
remaining north and east of the region.

Beyond Thursday a dry northwesterly flow aloft regime is forecast
to be in place this weekend through early next week before shifting
to dry southwesterly flow aloft by next Tuesday. Temperatures are
expected to be near normal Friday and Saturday before turning much
above normal Sunday through next Wednesday.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99

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