Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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741
FXUS64 KMAF 242304
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
504 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Winds will increase somewhat overnight as a cold front moves into
the area.  There may be a few gusts of 20 to 25kt behind the
front, but these will not last long.  VFR conditions will prevail
throughout the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2014/

A relatively benign weather pattern is in store for West Texas
and Southeast New Mexico this week, characterized generally by
above-normal temps and little to no precipitation.

Current WV imagery shows a broad trough over the central CONUS,
w/minor shortwaves digging SE thru this feature.  The first is due
thru tonight, pushing a weak cold front into the area, keeping temps
below normal Tuesday.  Models of late have carried a narrower
diurnal spread on temps than reality, and forecast soundings and H85
temp fields suggest guidance may be trying to warm things back up
too fast in the short term under NW flow aloft.  Even so, temps
should return to AOA normal by Wednesday afternoon, despite a
secondary weak front advertised for Wednesday afternoon.  NW flow
aloft then slowly begins transitioning to zonal into the weekend as
a broad, flat upper ridge builds in from the west.  Models develop a
stationary upper trough over Mexico into the weekend, but this will
have little effect on things here other than keeping temps down a
notch from where they otherwise would have been.  Temps peak
Saturday, then begin dropping as the upper ridge moves east in
response to a trough making landfall on the west coast. Models
attempt to bring in a third cold front Sunday night, but this looks
weak and stalls out mid-CWA, not even bringing temps back to normal
Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 32  57  34  64  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              34  59  34  64  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                32  57  33  62  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  34  64  32  69  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           34  57  35  66  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          29  49  33  56  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   29  54  31  62  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   22  52  22  61  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    31  59  31  65  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  31  59  35  64  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    31  59  31  66  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99

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