Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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667
FXUS64 KMAF 131929
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
229 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Winds have shown a slight decrease over the past couple of hours
and should subside much more after sunset with the loss of
boundary layer mixing and a relaxing surface pressure gradient.
Light winds overnight and dry air will provide optimal conditions
for radiational cooling with the Marfa Plateau nearing or dropping
just below freezing tonight. Have gone ahead and upgraded the
watch to a Freeze Warning for tonight so precautions should be
made to protect tender vegetation and animals.

An upper level ridge will move east into the plains and dampen by
mid week bringing a more zonal upper flow and warmer temperatures.
A weak upper trough rounding the crest of the ridge will push a
weak front south into the CWA on Friday bringing a litle relief to
the above normal temperatures on Friday. This front will
definitely be dry with all upper support well removed to the
north, but another trough will move into the desert southwest over
the weekend which may bring some rain chances late Sunday or
Monday. Will not introduce PoPs into the forecast so late in the
period but the GFS and ECMWF are showing a nice moisture return
ahead of the trough which could help create at least some
scattered convection.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 42  74  48  81  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              44  76  48  83  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                44  78  48  86  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  48  79  51  85  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           46  78  50  85  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          43  69  49  75  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   40  73  48  80  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   31  72  34  78  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    42  75  48  83  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  43  75  50  83  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    45  78  48  85  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...FREEZE WARNING from 5 AM to 10 AM CDT Tuesday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Marfa Plateau.


&&

$$

29/10

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