Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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804
FXUS64 KMAF 010452
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1152 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions with southeasterly winds will prevail across the
area through the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 245 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015/

Not many changes to current forecast, as persistent wx continues.
WV imagery shows yesterday`s upper trough that was over West Texas
and Southeast New Mexico has swung thru south Texas and in now over
Houston, leaving a weak ridge in place from the Texas Panhandle to
offshore of Baja.  This feature is forecast to build NE this week,
and establish itself more or less over the Southern Plains into the
extended.  500-1000mb thicknesses aren`t forecast to change much,
keeping highs each day just above normal...which would be lwr to mid
90s most locations.  Again, model soundings favor the lower end of
MOS guidance, and we see no reason to deviate much from that.

Best chances for rain continue to be SE NM.  Theta-e ridge continues
to lie NW of the FA, oriented SW-NE.  By Wednesday, this drifts into
SE NM, where disturbances moving thru the ridge in SW flow aloft may
be enough to warrant a chance of convection each day into the
extended.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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