Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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545
FXUS64 KMAF 300451
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1151 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours with decreasing
clouds. Light and variable winds overnight will become generally
southeasterly at under 10 mph by mid Sunday morning through Sunday
evening.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 601 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will
mostly be light and variable tonight and will become south to
southeasterly Sunday afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 249 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Mid-level cloudiness persists across the eastern half of the region
this afternoon and has resulted in a slow warm up so far today
across these areas. Currently seeing temperatures ranging from the
mid and upper 70s east to the mid and upper 80s west as of 2pm CDT.
This is a nice break from the 90s temps we`ve been seeing lately. A
weak MCV will continue to move east across the Permian Basin with
some lingering light showers persisting across eastern zones. This
activity is showing some signs of weakening and think it will
dissipate shortly. On the other hand, if these areas can get a
little more heating as clouds break up, showers could continue into
the evening hours. Otherwise, currently seeing some
heating/destabilization near the mountain region resulting in
rapidly popping cu seen on VIS satellite. Will carry mention
of thunderstorms across these areas through this evening as well.

Upper ridging remains anchored over the Desert SW today and looks to
remain there heading into the upcoming work week. Skies will begin
to clear tonight and temperatures will climb back into the 90s
most places Sunday. The warming trend will continue Monday with
above normal highs expected through the work week. Not seeing much
in the way of precip through mid/late week with no signs of any
surface features and continued subsidence thanks to the upper
ridge. Toward the end of the week, the upper ridge will slide east
and build NE through the Central/Southern Plains while a lee
surface trough extend south through western portions of the
region. Could see an uptick in rain chances, particularly for SE
NM and western portions of W TX being on the western periphery of
the upper ridge and invof the surface trough. Will continue to
carry some slight chance PoPs Thursday through next weekend across
these areas. Model guidance suggest a slight cooling of 850 mb
temps next weekend and may trend highs a degree or two cooler for
now.

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

$$


&&

$$

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