Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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244
FXUS64 KMAF 251137
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
637 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR with few clouds under the upper ridge. Expect to see some
afternoon storms mainly over the mountains... could affect CNM
and FST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 239 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level high pressure will remain anchored over the southern
Plains this weekend and then shift eastward into the Mississippi
Valley next Monday through Wednesday. At the surface a lee trough
is forecast to persist from eastern New Mexico south into the
eastern slopes of the mountains through the middle of next week.
Best chance of thunderstorms through the middle of next week will
be near and east of the persistent surface trough in the
orographically favored Guadalupe and Davis Mountains in intense
afternoon and early evening heating. Further away from the surface
trough and the mountains, more isolated activity is expected
nearby in portions of the southeast New Mexico Plains, upper
Trans Pecos Region and Van Horn Highway 54 Corridor of west Texas.
Little to no precipitation is expected in the Permian Basin for
the next several days, furthest away from the aforementioned
features.

By next Thursday an upper level trough is forecast to track
across the northern states. This trough could send a weak cold
front south into the southern Plains and increase precipitation
chances some areawide by next Friday through the next weekend.
This will need to be monitored.

For temperatures will follow persistence through early next week
with triple digit temperatures expected in many areas of the
plains with 80s and 90s in the mountains. Some cooling is
expected by the middle of next week through the end of next week per
forecast 850 millibar temperature forecast and potential frontal
passage toward the end of next week.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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