Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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462
FXUS64 KMAF 231111
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
511 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
It will become very windy today after 18Z with gusts to 35 to 45
knots across much of the area. Recent rains should keep blowing
dust to a minimum but there may be localized or brief areas of
MVFR conditions due to BLDU. Conditions will improve after 00Z as
a weak front arrives.

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
The upper level storm system that brought the rain to the area
yesterday has moved into east Texas early today. Behind this
system a large and broad upper level trough covered much of the
United States. A strong pressure and height gradient is forecast
to be over the area today on the south side of the trough and this
will result in very windy conditions in the plains and high winds
in the Guadalupe Mountains and the Davis Mountains above 6000
feet. A High Wind Warning is in effect through this evening for
the aforementioned mountains. A Wind Advisory is in effect from
late this morning through this afternoon for much of the remainder
of west Texas and southeast New Mexico plains. Decent sunshine along
with strong downslope winds will allow temperatures to rise again
to above normal values this afternoon despite yesterdays frontal
passage. Winds will diminish rapidly early this evening in the
plains due to nocturnal cooling but winds will remain elevated in
the higher elevations of the mountains through this evening before
diminishing later tonight as the height gradient eases.

A couple of dry cold fronts will move through the region tonight
and tomorrow night as the upper trough pushes southeast. This
will result in several degree cooling for Monday and Tuesday
high temperatures under mostly clear skies.

Mainly zonal flow aloft expected Wednesday through next weekend.
High temperatures should rise to at or above normal values
at least Wednesday and possibly Thursday due to surface lee trough
formation in this flow. Beyond Thursday will keep the warm pattern
going for now but the potential exists for colder air to drop down
down from Canada into the plains. Later shifts will need to
monitor.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WIND ADVISORY from 10 AM this morning to 5 PM MST this afternoon
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Central Lea County...Eddy County
     Plains...Northern Lea County...Southern Lea County.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until 11 PM MST this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...WIND ADVISORY from 11 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...Borden...Crane...
     Dawson...Ector...Gaines...Glasscock...Howard...Loving...
     Marfa Plateau...Martin...Midland...Mitchell...Pecos...
     Reagan...Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos...Scurry...
     Terrell...Upton...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor...Ward...
     Winkler.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until Midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Guadalupe
     Mountains.


&&

$$

10

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