Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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619
FXUS64 KMAF 272304
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
504 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours under clear skies.
Winds will generally be less than 10 knots for most of the TAF
period. There is a slight chance of some light fog near sunrise
Friday at some of the terminals but confidence was not high enough
at this time to include anywhere.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...

* Warm Thanksgiving day weekend ahead!
* Patchy fog late tonight?
* Strong Arctic front arriving early Monday morning
* Modest warming through next Thursday

We`ll get smacked back into winter Monday...more on that later.

Westerly to southwesterly flow will prevail for the next few days.
We will see a modest increase in low level moisture overnight, and
this in turn may create conditions favorable for patchy fog between
midnight to about 8 am.  Temperatures will be some 10 to 15 degrees
above normal Friday through Sunday.  Carpe diem!

A developing split flow regime across the eastern Pacific will dislodge
a pile of Arctic air over Canada this weekend. This wedge of unseasonably
cold air will arrive (faster and a bit colder than a consensus of
models suggest) across west Texas and southeastern New Mexico
beginning very early Monday morning. The front should shoot down
to the Pecos by sunrise Monday, then through the Big Bend by noon.
We`ll see a drastic swing in temperatures between Sunday and
Monday, with highs Sunday around 10 degrees above normal, then
down to 15 to 20 degrees below normal for high temperatures
Monday. Limited moisture and meager dynamics will mean a dry
frontal passage; however, wouldn`t be surprised to see some V dot
del(dirt) coming off the cotton fields of the South Plains Monday,
resulting in blowing dust conditions

Winds will quickly turn to the south Tuesday, but the cold air
will modify only slightly. We`ll see some clouds Wednesday and
Thursday as temperatures warm to around normal for the first week
of December. Dry conditions look to continue as well, at least
through next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 37  72  39  73  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              41  72  41  73  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                31  73  37  76  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  36  71  43  73  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           41  75  42  79  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          42  64  41  68  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   30  73  35  73  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   26  67  38  70  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    38  71  38  72  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  40  72  39  73  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    32  75  40  76  /   0   0   0   0

&&


.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

67/70

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