Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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676
FXUS64 KMAF 221052
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
552 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail areawide today.  Thunderstorms will form
this afternoon, but will not carry TSRA at any terminals at this
time due to low probabilities of any being affected.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 434 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2015/

Upper level high pressure will remain anchored over the southern Plains
through the next week. At the surface a lee trough will be persistent
from eastern New Mexico south into the eastern slopes of the Guadalupe
and Davis Mountains. Best chance of thunderstorms will be today through
Friday near and east of the surface trough in intense heating across
the mountains, southeast New Mexico Plains, Trans Pecos and western
Permian Basin where a mid level theta e ridge is forecast to reside.
With precipitable water values progged to approach 1.5 inches,
locally heavy rainfall will be possible in these areas.

For Saturday through the rest of the extended forecast, the mid
level theta e axis is forecast to push a little further west and
be confined mainly to the mountains and the plains immediately
adjacent to them. This should confine thunderstorm activity further
west to mainly the mountains, southeast New Mexico Plains and
portions of the upper Trans Pecos with areal coverage on the
decrease.

For temperatures will follow persistence with the upper ridge
prevailing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  97  75 100  75  /  10   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                    97  72 100  71  /  30  30  30  20
DRYDEN TX                     100  75 101  75  /  10  10  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX               98  73 100  74  /  20  20  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              88  68  89  69  /  30  40  30  20
HOBBS NM                       95  71  95  70  /  30  20  20  20
MARFA TX                       89  64  90  63  /  40  40  30  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        97  74  99  74  /  20  10  10   0
ODESSA TX                      97  76  99  75  /  30  10  10   0
WINK TX                       100  76 103  77  /  30  30  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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