Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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860
FXUS64 KMAF 231718
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1118 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2014

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF issuance...
The main aviation concern for the next 24 hours is strong west winds
expected through this afternoon. Currently have west winds ranging
from 15-33kt sustained and gusts up to 30-40kt affecting terminals
this morning. Peak winds are expected between 23/18Z and 24/00Z with
gusts near 35-40kt areawide. Wind speeds will be strongest near the
mountain regions where speeds up to 55G75kt will be possible. Could
also see some patchy areas of BLDU this afternoon but kept mention
out of TAF for now. Winds will decrease significantly after 24/00Z
and generally remain light overnight. Otherwise, VFR conditions will
persist at all terminals through Monday morning.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
The upper level storm system that brought the rain to the area
yesterday has moved into east Texas early today. Behind this
system a large and broad upper level trough covered much of the
United States. A strong pressure and height gradient is forecast
to be over the area today on the south side of the trough and this
will result in very windy conditions in the plains and high winds
in the Guadalupe Mountains and the Davis Mountains above 6000
feet. A High Wind Warning is in effect through this evening for
the aforementioned mountains. A Wind Advisory is in effect from
late this morning through this afternoon for much of the remainder
of west Texas and southeast New Mexico plains. Decent sunshine along
with strong downslope winds will allow temperatures to rise again
to above normal values this afternoon despite yesterdays frontal
passage. Winds will diminish rapidly early this evening in the
plains due to nocturnal cooling but winds will remain elevated in
the higher elevations of the mountains through this evening before
diminishing later tonight as the height gradient eases.

A couple of dry cold fronts will move through the region tonight
and tomorrow night as the upper trough pushes southeast. This
will result in several degree cooling for Monday and Tuesday
high temperatures under mostly clear skies.

Mainly zonal flow aloft expected Wednesday through next weekend.
High temperatures should rise to at or above normal values
at least Wednesday and possibly Thursday due to surface lee trough
formation in this flow. Beyond Thursday will keep the warm pattern
going for now but the potential exists for colder air to drop down
down from Canada into the plains. Later shifts will need to
monitor.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Central Lea County...Eddy County Plains...Northern
     Lea County...Southern Lea County.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until 11 PM MST this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...WIND ADVISORY until 6 PM CST this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Andrews...Borden...Crane...Dawson...Ector...
     Gaines...Glasscock...Howard...Loving...Marfa Plateau...
     Martin...Midland...Mitchell...Pecos...Reagan...Reeves
     County and Upper Trans Pecos...Scurry...Terrell...Upton...
     Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor...Ward...Winkler.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until Midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Guadalupe
     Mountains.


&&

$$

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