Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 101139

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
639 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015


Please see the 12Z aviation discussion below.



Widespread MVFR/IFR conditions in low clouds and fog have
developed across southeast New Mexico and west Texas over the past
few hours, and could persist until around 15-16Z this morning
before ceilings begin to lift and scatter out. VFR conditions will
prevail thereafter, with winds remaining light and variable to
light southeasterly through the forecast period.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 401 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015/

DISCUSSION...As of 4:00 AM CDT Saturday...Tranquil weather is in
store for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico for the upcoming

With the moist ground...patchy fog has formed across portions of
the particular across the Permian Basin and the Stockton
Plateau. This should burn off shortly after sunrise.

The upper low that was responsible for the past several days of
showers is west of Central Baja California with a ridge building
into West Texas. Today should be warmer and drier...with the
exception of the Davis Mtns where there could be a few
aftn/evening thunderstorms in the moist upslope flow.

From Sunday thru the end of the upcoming week it will be dry as
ridging remains in control across the CWA. Sunday will be 5-10
degrees above normal with low level downslope flow and a H85
thermal ridge overhead. As a shortwave moves across the northern
tier of states a cold front will drop south across the CWA Monday.
With the best dynamics/moisture remaining well to the north it
will be a dry frontal passage. There will be enough of a tight
pressure gradient for gusty winds Monday...especially in the aftn
but should remain below advisory criteria. Not much cool air will
make it this far south so temps will still be near to a little
above normal. The front will retreat north on Tuesday bringing
above normal temps back into the CWA...with above normal temps
expected thru the week.






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