Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Graphics & Text | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On

Skip product version selection by date and time.   
212
FXUS64 KMAF 230257
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
857 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014

.UPDATE...

Update to add fog to the forecast over portions of the Permian
Basin and western Low Rolling Plains through midnight CST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Low level moisture has surged westward into the Permian Basin and
western Low Rolling Plains.  This increase in moisture over rain
soaked ground has resulted in the formation of fog, some dense,
which continues to expand slowly westward.  However, surface winds
will veer to the southwest and west through midnight in these areas
and advect drier air into the region.  Therefore, expect fog to
dissipate from west to east with Scurry, Mitchell and Glasscock
counties clearing out midnight, or perhaps 1 am CST at the latest.
Will send an update to add to the forecast for the next few hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 528 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.  Winds will start
off fairly light out of the southwest to west before becoming
elevated out of the west by 12z.  Winds will pick up even more in
intensity and become gusty later in the morning.  Winds will peak in
intensity between 18z to 21z and will be out of the northwest before
weakening by 00z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...

A series of equipment failures during this morning`s thunderstorm
activity (and the needed 0.20" of rain) set things back some, but
this is what we know now. The cold core of the upper low sits just
about overhead. With the exit of the strong lower latitude system and
merger over the Midwestern States, strong cyclogenesis will occur,
and that will entail strong northwesterly winds across much of the
Permian Basin, the upper trans Pecos, and the southeastern New
Mexican plains Sunday. We`ve left the high wind watch up for the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains areas for now. We`ve also left the
decision to fire up high wind warnings across the plains as well
depending on the strength of the surface pressure gradient. These
winds will subside Sunday night.

After this round of weather...nothing but sunny skies and above
normal temperatures through at least Black Friday. Chances for
precip are about nil and winds will remain out of the west to
northwest. In fact, high temp forecasts for Thanksgiving Day may be
warmer than forecast, if the new incoming data is close to being
correct. A beautiful week, certainly something to be thankful for.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 44  69  32  55  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              44  71  37  56  /  10   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                44  72  33  59  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  47  77  42  66  /  10   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           50  73  36  55  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          40  60  32  51  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   42  67  31  54  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   32  66  25  52  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    43  70  31  57  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  46  67  33  57  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    42  73  34  59  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH from 5 AM MST Sunday through Sunday evening FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH from 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Sunday through Sunday
     evening FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains
     Area...Guadalupe Mountains.


&&

$$

99/99

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at:
http://facebook.com/NWSMidland
http://twitter.com/NWSMidland

Check us out on the internet at:
http://weather.gov/midland

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.