Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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097
FXUS64 KMAF 260453
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1153 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at the west Texas and southeast New
Mexico terminals underneath an upper ridge the next 24 hours.
Thunderstorms that develop in the mountains Sunday afternoon
should remain west of the terminals.

12


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 710 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015/

UPDATE...

Update to add a chance of rain farther east over the Stockton
Plateau and south through the Big Bend region this evening.

DISCUSSION...

Convection continues to form from the Stockton Plateau, westward
through the Glass and Davis mountains and over the Big Bend region
along and east of a surface trough.  Intense surface heating,
although waning, of a modestly moist airmass appears to be enough to
keep convection going for a few more hours.  Not expecting severe
storms due to lack of shear, but a dry subcloud layer could result
in a few storms producing gusty winds around 50 mph.  Will send an
update shortly.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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