Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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614
FXUS64 KMAF 180905
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
405 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

The cold front has pushed all the way to the Rio Grande this morning
aided by widespread convection across the area yesterday. We are
looking at a pretty nice day for mid July with high temperatures
5-10 degrees below average. Low level moisture along with easterly
upslope flow should allow for convection to fire this afternoon in
the higher terrain of the Davis and Guadalupe Mnts. The upper ridge
begins to build in from the west Saturday with warming temperatures
and diminishing precip chances. Saturday will not be all that bad
yet with highs near normal, but by Sunday into Monday the upper
ridge becomes more established centering itself over eastern NM.
This will send most locations into the triple digits with areas
along the Rio Grande possibly needing a Heat Advisory early next
week. It appears that enough moisture will be around for a few
isolated storms each afternoon in the Davis Mnts through about
midweek before drier air invades from the east. Have also kept
isolated PoPs for Saturday afternoon across SE NM as a weak upper
disturbance moves south over the area. Otherwise, expect dry and hot
conditions next week as the upper high stays in control of our
weather.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 87  69  95  73  /  10  10  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              86  73  96  75  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                91  71  99  72  /  10  10  20  20
DRYDEN TX                  93  76  98  78  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           90  73  96  74  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          85  68  92  69  /  20  20  20  20
HOBBS NM                   87  68  94  70  /  10  10  20  20
MARFA TX                   85  61  90  62  /  30  30  20  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    87  71  95  73  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  88  72  96  74  /  10  10  10  10
WINK TX                    93  74 100  76  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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