Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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316
FXUS64 KMAF 310833
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
333 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Seeing a bit of lull in precip overnight tonight with just some
light rain moving across portions of southeast New Mexico and
Permian Basin. Today, we begin to see a slight change in the upper
pattern as a weak upper ridge over OK/north TX region begins to
shift SW over the area. It looks as though easterly/upslope flow
will continue in low and mid levels, keeping abundant moisture in
place the next several days as well as fairly decent rain chances
across the region. Unfortunately, best chances for heavy rain and
localized flooding will remain over southeast New Mexico, Guadalupe
Mountains, upper Trans Pecos and NW Permian Basin today, where
flash flooding has been of some concern the last few days. Given
that widespread flooding is not expected, decided to go ahead and
cancel the Flash Flood Watch for the entire forecast area.
Temperatures will be similar or maybe a degree or two warmer than
what we saw on Tuesday with highs ranging from the upper 70s
across SE NM and the mountain regions to the mid/upper 80s
elsewhere. Rain chances hang on into Thursday and Friday although
coverage is expected to be lower than previous days. By the
weekend, we should see a little more sun and lowering rain
chances, resulting in temps returning to near normal readings with
highs in the upper 80s to low 90s through early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     85  70  86  70 /  40  30  40  30
Carlsbad                       78  65  79  66 /  60  50  50  40
Dryden                         89  72  91  72 /  30  20  20  10
Fort Stockton                  84  67  84  67 /  40  30  40  20
Guadalupe Pass                 73  60  75  62 /  60  50  40  30
Hobbs                          78  64  78  65 /  50  50  50  40
Marfa                          77  61  79  62 /  40  30  30  20
Midland Intl Airport           85  68  85  68 /  40  40  40  30
Odessa                         84  68  84  68 /  40  40  40  30
Wink                           84  68  85  69 /  50  40  40  30

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/27

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