Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Graphics & Text | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

906
FXUS64 KMAF 071926
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
226 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Cold front continues to sag east and south from the eastern
Permian Basin to near the Davis Mountains. Showers and thunderstorms
are continuing to develop along this boundary near the aforementioned
areas, aided by diffluent flow aloft along the southern periphery
of the stronger westerlies. Have decided to cancel the Flash Flood
Watch for much of the forecast area except the extreme eastern
Permian Basin. The areas where the watch will be cancelled will
either be too far removed from the frontal boundary or have not
already received excessive rainfall. Plan on expiring the watch in
the eastern Permian Basin by 06z Wednesday due to the expectation
that the heaviest rains associated with the boundary will have
moved east of the area.

For Wednesday through Friday a new surface lee trough is forecast
to quickly become established near the mountains. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop, mainly in the
afternoon and evening along and east of the surface trough from
the mountains east to the southeast New Mexico Plains to the
western Permian Basin. Not expecting a watch box these days, but
a few storms could be strong to severe given forecast shear values
of around 20 knots with capes of 500 to 2000 j/kg. Warming 850
millibar temperatures and more sunshine will result in warmer
temperatures these days, but still below normal.

The forecast for Saturday through the middle of next week looks to
be warm and dry as a sprawling upper level ridge is forecast to
become established over the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  68  89  71  92  /  60  30  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                    67  93  71  94  /  20  20  20  30
DRYDEN TX                      75  94  72  95  /  40  20  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX               70  91  72  92  /  30  20  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              64  87  67  85  /  30  30  40  30
HOBBS NM                       63  89  68  89  /  20  10  20  20
MARFA TX                       65  87  64  86  /  40  40  30  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        68  89  72  92  /  40  20  10  10
ODESSA TX                      67  89  72  91  /  30  20  10  10
WINK TX                        69  92  73  95  /  20  10  20  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 1 AM CDT Wednesday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Borden...Glasscock...Howard...Mitchell...Reagan...
     Scurry.


&&

$$

72/12

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.