Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 021127

627 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2014

See 12Z aviation discussion below.


A cold front will pass through the TAF sites within the next few
hours shifting winds from the north and making them gusty through
this afternoon before diminishing and becoming northeasterly
overnight. VFR conditions will remain this TAF period.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2014/

High temperatures yesterday were well above normal values for this
time of year but luckily a cold front will push through the region
today as an ua trough swings into the Plains. The front looks to
enter the NW zones shortly and move SE reaching a Midland/Ft.
Stockton line by mid morning, then through the entire CWA by noon.
With a morning fropa expected, high temperatures will to be about
5-10 degrees cooler at most locations this afternoon compared to
yesterday. No rain is expected with this front. Winds will shift to
the NNW behind the front and become a bit breezy through this
afternoon. Wind speeds will decrease this evening as a surface ridge
settles into the area overnight and the surface pressure gradient
relaxes. Light winds, clear skies, drier air and continued cooling
will result in low temperatures falling to 40s and 50s across the
region by early Friday morning. An extra shot of cool air on
Friday will help continue these pleasant temperatures through
Saturday with near normal readings expected.

Southerly flow at the surface returns Saturday as the surface
ridge moves east of the region due to the development of a lee
surface trough extending southward into the region. This will
result in the beginning of the slow warming trend expected through
at least the beginning of next week. Model guidance continues to
show a weak disturbance moving over the region, in NW flow aloft,
Sunday but best available moisture looks to stay to the east and
we should remain dry.






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