Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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956
FXUS64 KMAF 122025
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
225 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A northwest flow/zonal upper air pattern does not bode well for
rain chances the next seven days. Across the area today we are
seeing clear skies with a weak cold front moving through the
Permian Basin and we can expect this pattern to persist. Southerly
flow will return tomorrow after the brief northerly wind shift
today, and will be interrupted by the passage of weak fronts on
Sunday and Tuesday as weak disturbances move across the plains in
the progressive flow. Fortunately wind speeds should remain low
enough to prevent critical fire weather conditions from developing
in this dry air.

The only chance for precipitation will be after this forecast
period, late next weekend. However even this is doubtful since the
upper air pattern remains zonal and the only reflection of
precipitation is in the model QPF fields, as this is know to be
too aggressive in the extended periods.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     38  70  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       35  74  36  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         44  76  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  41  76  44  76 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 41  71  43  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          33  71  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          35  73  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           38  73  44  73 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         39  72  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           40  74  40  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/10

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