Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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719
FXUS64 KMAF 292026
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
226 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A broad upper level trough is over most of the country with the CWA
at the south end.  Temperatures today are expected to be a little
cooler than yesterday as lower heights spread across the region due
to the upper trough.  A cold front will move through the area
tonight in association with the upper trough.  Overnight lows will
likely reach the freezing point or below for much of the area.  Some
areas will likely receive their first hard freeze so a Hard Freeze
Warning is in effect for tonight/early tomorrow morning for the
Guadalupe Mountains, Van Horn area, and the Upper Trans Pecos.

On Wednesday, the previously mentioned upper trough will begin to
move eastward while another upper low moves over the Pacific
Northwest.  Temperatures on Wednesday will be cooler than normal
with highs mostly in the 50s.  Temperatures are expected to be near
normal on Thursday with highs in the lower 60s across the Permian
Basin.  The upper low that was over the Pacific Northwest will move
southeastward and will be over/near the Four Corners region on
Friday.  Upper lift will increase in advance of this approaching
trough allowing for a chance of rain across eastern and northern
sections of the CWA on Friday.

A cold front will also be moving into the area Friday into Friday
night.  Precipitation coverage will be more widespread across the
area on Saturday with high temperatures only in the 40s across much
of the CWA. Models have come into better agreement with the track of
the upper low/trough digging it down into Mexico then lifting it up
over Texas on Monday. Due to low temperatures reaching the freezing
point across the higher terrain, portions of southeast New Mexico,
and the northwest Permian Basin this weekend, a chance of a
rain/snow mix has added to the forecast for the weekend overnight
periods.  Temperatures appear to warm up a little bit on Sunday with
precipitation across the area. Both models show the precipitation to
be gone by Monday evening with temperatures warming up closer to
normal values. Temperatures next Tuesday are expected to warm up to
above normal in advance of the next approaching upper trough.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     31  56  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       28  56  27  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         37  62  38  64 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  34  58  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 28  49  31  55 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          25  53  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          22  54  24  63 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           30  57  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         30  58  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           28  58  29  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...Freeze Warning from 4 AM CST /3 AM MST/ to 8 AM CST /7 AM MST/
     Wednesday for Guadalupe Mountains-Loving-Reeves County and
     Upper Trans Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-
     Winkler.

&&

$$

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