Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Text Only | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On

Skip product version selection by date and time.   
253
FXUS64 KMAF 242335
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
635 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Rainfall received earlier seems to have put a damper on blowing
dust across the area, with all TAF sites remaining VFR this
evening with VFR conditions and mostly clear skies expected to
prevail over the next 24 hours. Wind gusts will diminish shortly
after sunset this evening, with sustained speeds decreasing to
around 10-15KT overnight. However, gusty west winds will return
by early Saturday afternoon, continuing through 26/00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 150 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A strong shortwave trough swung across NM this morning and was
moving across W TX this afternoon.  This trough has helped to
produce some thunderstorms today.  Will have a brief pause after
this trough before another upper trough dives across NV to AZ
Saturday before swinging into NM on Sunday.  Look for upper ridging
by the middle of next week.

Had some showers and storms develop across the Permian Basin this
morning that continued into the afternoon.  Some of these storms had
brief heavy rain with minor street flooding reported in Midland and
also possible occurring in Big Spring... Snyder... and Colorado City.

As of early afternoon widespread cloud cover clearing from west to
east with stronger winds aloft mixing down to the surface.  Have cut
back on the coverage of blowing dust this afternoon but left it
across SE NM.  As a surface trough/dryline moves across the area the
wind will come around to the W/SW behind it.  A Wind Advisory is in
effect the rest of the afternoon west of a Fort Davis to Lamesa line
with a High Wind Warning for the Guadalupe Mountains.  Wind speeds
should drop off after sunset.  Could see border line high wind
conditions in the Guadalupes Saturday and Sunday afternoon but not
planning on issuing a warning at this time.

The west wind will continue Saturday and Sunday with highs in the
80s.  The next cold front moves through Monday with highs falling
back into the 70s for the first of the week with 80s returning by
the end of next week.  Lows mostly in the 50s through Monday.

Expect current storms will be east of the area by this evening with
none expected over the weekend.  Storms creep back into the forecast
Sunday night and continue through Monday night along and behind the
front.  The remainder of the forecast is dry.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions developing across SE NM and western
portions of west TX this afternoon with strong west winds and
warming temperatures. A Fire Danger Statement remains in effect for
these areas through early evening, at which point winds diminish and
fire weather conditions improve. Still expect fair overnight RH
recoveries most locations followed by another day of elevated fire
weather concerns Saturday afternoon. Although minimum RH`s and winds
look good for near critical fire weather conditions, local reports
indicate vegetation is too green to warrant a Fire Weather Watch.
Much of the same expected Sunday before a cold front moves through
Monday, alleviating fire weather concerns through at least mid week.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING until 9 PM MDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM MDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Central Lea County...Eddy County Plains...Northern
     Lea County...Southern Lea County.

TX...HIGH WIND WARNING until 9 PM MDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

     WIND ADVISORY until 8 PM CDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Andrews...Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Dawson...
     Gaines...Loving...Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos...Van
     Horn and Highway 54 Corridor...Winkler.


&&

$$

84

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at:
http://facebook.com/NWSMidland
http://twitter.com/NWSMidland

Check us out on the internet at:
http://weather.gov/midland

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.