Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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742
FXUS64 KMAF 301832
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
132 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The last day of September had an upper ridge over the area this morning
with a deep low over the Eastern U.S. and a trough along the NW Coast.
This trough will slowly dig down the West Coast before swinging
inland... passing over the Intermountain West late Monday and Northern
Plains Tuesday.

The development of a leeside trough has caused the surface wind to come
back around to the south with increasing low level moisture.  This
should result in warmer overnight lows in the 50s warming into the 60s.
This trough should strengthen early next week with wind speeds
increasing as the pressure gradient tightens.  Expect above normal
highs this weekend through early next week.  Looking at another cold
front blowing through next Thursday to knock the readings back down.

Have had thick cloud cover west of the Pecos River all day as light
rain formed near ELP on a weak shortwave and was moving east across
Culberson and Eddy county as of 18z.  Will keep chances of
showers/storms over the west tonight and Saturday... have expanded pops
into the Western Permian Basin.  Somewhat better chance of rain Monday
night west and Tuesday east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       58  86  57  88 /  10  10   0   0
Dryden                         63  85  63  86 /  10   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  60  85  62  88 /  10  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 57  80  60  81 /  20  10   0   0
Hobbs                          55  82  56  85 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          53  78  50  81 /  20  20   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           59  84  60  87 /   0  10   0   0
Odessa                         59  83  61  86 /   0  10   0   0
Wink                           61  86  61  90 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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