Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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138
FXUS64 KMAF 251726
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1226 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.UPDATE...

Please see the 25/18Z aviation forecast discussion below.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all area terminals
through 26/18Z. A few models are suggesting MVFR cigs developing
at KMAF and KFST in the 26/12-15Z time range, but will not include
at this time as confidence is around 1:5 that this will occur.
Otherwise look for gusty SE winds to persist through the next 24
hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 616 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016/

AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance.

No aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will
prevail at all terminals. Gusty SE winds expected through much of
the TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...
The upper ridge centered over the Gulf coast stretches from the
Atlantic to the Pacific.  The center of this ridge will slowly drift
west becoming centered over the 4 corners region by Monday where it
will remain most of the week.

Temps were a little cooler yesterday as 850mb temps cooled... even
though Rio Grande village reached 108... expect near to a little
cooler again today.  Highs should be below normal Sunday through
Tuesday then increase through the end of the week as the ridge
returns.

A persistent S/SE surface flow will continue to pull moisture into
the region.  Rain chances pick up this weekend as a low wanders up
from Mexico with the best chance looking to be Sunday and Sunday
night.  In addition upslope flow should be enough to generate storms
over the Davis Mtns this afternoon/evening so have bumped up pops.
Rain chances decrease through the week as temperatures increase.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     94  71  91  71 /  10  10  20  20
Carlsbad                       97  70  94  70 /  10  10  30  30
Dryden                         96  73  93  72 /  10  20  30  20
Fort Stockton                  94  70  90  70 /  10  20  30  20
Guadalupe Pass                 93  65  84  64 /  20  20  30  30
Hobbs                          92  68  89  67 /  10  10  30  30
Marfa                          90  61  86  60 /  30  30  40  30
Midland Intl Airport           94  70  92  70 /  10  10  20  20
Odessa                         94  69  91  69 /  10  10  20  20
Wink                           97  71  94  71 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

70/44

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