Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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194
FXUS64 KMAF 261713
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1213 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...

See Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours...after MVFR cigs sctter
out at KFST.  Northerly flow will back to the SW.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A cold front has pushed south through the region fairly quickly
tonight with gusty north winds persisting areawide. Although winds
are fairly strong, most locations are below Wind Advisory
criteria and we don`t expect winds to come back up. As a result,
went ahead and cancelled the Wind Advisory. High winds through
Guadalupe Pass will continue through mid morning and a High Wind
Warning remains for this location. Winds will diminish through the
morning hours as the surface pressure gradient relaxes and a
surface ridge settles into the area. High temperatures will be
about 20 degrees cooler than yesterday with readings in the 60s
most places.

Dry NW flow aloft will develop today as an upper trough moves east
of the region. At the surface, lee troughing will develop by Friday
resulting in the return of downsloping SW winds at the surface. This
will allow temperatures to rebound to the 70s and 80s Friday and
Saturday. Upper ridging and warmer 850mb temps will shift eastward
Sunday and highs will warm to the upper 80s and low 90s across the
region. The warm/dry pattern looks to be interrupted early next week
with the passage of a weak cold front that will knock temps back
into the 70s and low 80s for Monday. As of now, not expecting any
precip with the initial arrival of the cold front however an
eastward moving upper disturbance may provide some support for
thunderstorm development Monday night and Tuesday. Still quite a bit
of disagreement amongst the forecast models regarding the exact
strength and track of this system so slight chance PoPs look good
for now.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

44

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