Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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723
FXUS64 KMAF 041654
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1154 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours at the west Texas
and southeast New Mexico terminals. Thunderstorms should remain
west of the the terminals in the mountains.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued /

AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance
VFR conditions will prevail through tonight. Showers and storms
will develop across the higher terrain later today. The best
coverage will be south of I-20 and may include KFST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 445 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms that formed last night in SE New Mexico and the Upper
Trans Pecos and moved across the Permian Basin have dissipated for
the most part.  A few lingering remain in Presidio County and
continue into the morning hours.  Coverage of rain chances will be
less today than they were yesterday, but may still see some isolated
showers and thunderstorms with a theta-e axis over the Permian
Basin.  The best chance rain chances will be in the Davis Mountains
where there is better theta-e air and orographic lift will provide
support for thunderstorms.  Precipitable Water values of 1.0 to 1.5
inches will mean heavy rain may accompany any thunderstorms causing
localized flooding.  After today, the ridge begins to strengthen and
rain chances will quickly exit the majority of the area except for
the Davis Mountains where a few isolated showers may be possible
again tomorrow.

The rain that moved the through area should keep temperatures a
degree or two cooler today, but things will quickly heat up by
midweek.  Beginning Wednesday temperatures will climb back into the
100s for many locations as 850mb temps increase.  Rain chances will
also be hard to come by.  Thursday looks to be the hottest day of
the week with potential to be the hottest day of the year thus far
for Midland. If you are not a fan of 100 degree temperatures, the
rest of the week doesn`t look good.  Triple digit temps look to
stick around through Sunday. Similar story into early next week with
the persistent upper ridge centered over West Texas and eastern New
Mexico.

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

$$


&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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