Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 052259

449 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2015


See 00z aviation discussion below.



The low ceilings near/over PEQ and FST are expected to clear up in
the next hour or two.  VFR conditions will prevail after the low
ceilings clear out of the area.  Winds will be light out of the
south to southeast throughout the period.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 204 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2015/


Mother Nature looks to finally gives us a break from active, cold
weather we`ve had over the past week. We will stay cool over the
next several days...however temps will be much closer to normal than
it has been.

Clouds have eroded for the most part this afternoon making for a
sunny, but chilly day across the area. Upslope flow against the
higher terrain continues to keep clouds in place along the eastern
slopes. Even with such a cold start this morning temperatures have
climbed into the 30`s and 40`s except underneath the clouds where
Alpine is still at 29 degrees as of 2 PM. The sfc high centered just
to our north will slowly drift east the next couple of days helping
to swing our winds to the southeast. Normally this would help warm
us quickly but the extent of the current airmass pushes well into
the Gulf of Mexico. So instead expect a gradual warm-up Friday into
the weekend, but with increasing clouds ahead of a weak storm

An upper level low that had previously broke away from the upper
trough that affected the region yesterday will begin to drift east
over northern Mexico today. This system will shear out as it
approaches the Southern Plains this weekend, but still looks to
bring a chance for showers especially across the Lower Trans Pecos
and Big Bend regions Saturday night into Sunday. The upper pattern
for next week is a bit unclear as models show a weak upper trough
hanging somewhere around the area. It does appear that no matter
what we will finally see some Springlike temperatures and much drier
conditions by the middle of the week.






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