Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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054
FXUS64 KMAF 172322
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
622 PM CDT SUN JUL 17 2016

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR will continue with a prevailing S to SE wind. Low chances of
evening storms over/near the mountains so will not mention at this
time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 201 PM CDT SUN JUL 17 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Deep easterly flow aloft has taken control over the region, and will
persist this week as the Subtropical Ridge center edges slightly
farther north over the southern U.S. Plains.  This flow regime will
shunt the low level thermal ridge and mid level thetae axis
westward, which portends little chance of rain and not quite as hot
temperatures.  A subtle mid level feature or two may still impinge
upon the region during the next 7 days, but any resulting rain
chances will likely be slight, and over the higher terrain since a
low level focus will be hard to come by over the plains.  Look
for high and low temperatures a few degrees above normal through
midweek with most instances of 100 degrees or slightly higher
relegated to the Trans Pecos and Rio Grande.  Thereafter, the
upper ridge will strengthen and expand somewhat which will likely
lead to more locations rising to 100 degrees.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     74  95  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       72  99  72  97 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         77 100  76  98 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  74  98  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 69  94  71  90 /  10  20  20   0
Hobbs                          71  95  70  95 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          62  92  61  90 /  20  10   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           75  98  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         76  98  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           76 100  74  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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