Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 101340

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
840 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015


Update to add areas of fog to the forecast this morning.



Cloud cover inhibited fog development overnight, but some breaks
have allowed fog to develop over portions of the Permian Basin,
Se NM Plains, Stockton Plateau and into the Davis Mountains.  Only
a few locations are indicating dense fog, so will utilize social
media to highlight these areas and forego a Dense Fog Advisory.
Think conditions will improve areawide by late morning as heating
and mixing dissipate the fog.  67


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 639 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015/

Please see the 12Z aviation discussion below.


Widespread MVFR/IFR conditions in low clouds and fog have
developed across southeast New Mexico and west Texas over the past
few hours, and could persist until around 15-16Z this morning
before ceilings begin to lift and scatter out. VFR conditions will
prevail thereafter, with winds remaining light and variable to
light southeasterly through the forecast period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 401 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015/

As of 4:00 AM CDT Saturday...Tranquil weather is in store for
West Texas and Southeast New Mexico for the upcoming week.

With the moist ground...patchy fog has formed across portions of
the particular across the Permian Basin and the Stockton
Plateau. This should burn off shortly after sunrise.

The upper low that was responsible for the past several days of
showers is west of Central Baja California with a ridge building
into West Texas. Today should be warmer and drier...with the
exception of the Davis Mtns where there could be a few
aftn/evening thunderstorms in the moist upslope flow.

From Sunday thru the end of the upcoming week it will be dry as
ridging remains in control across the CWA. Sunday will be 5-10
degrees above normal with low level downslope flow and a H85
thermal ridge overhead. As a shortwave moves across the northern
tier of states a cold front will drop south across the CWA Monday.
With the best dynamics/moisture remaining well to the north it
will be a dry frontal passage. There will be enough of a tight
pressure gradient for gusty winds Monday...especially in the aftn
but should remain below advisory criteria. Not much cool air will
make it this far south so temps will still be near to a little
above normal. The front will retreat north on Tuesday bringing
above normal temps back into the CWA...with above normal temps
expected thru the week.



BIG SPRING TX                  80  62  90  61  /  10   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                    78  58  90  60  /  10   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                      84  64  88  67  /  10   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX               82  64  92  66  /  10   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX              73  59  80  63  /  10   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                       77  57  86  58  /  10   0   0   0
MARFA TX                       77  50  82  53  /  30  10  10   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        80  62  89  62  /  10   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                      81  63  89  64  /  10   0   0   0
WINK TX                        82  61  91  62  /  10   0   0   0





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