Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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079
FXUS64 KMAF 280529
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1229 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2015


.AVIATION...
06Z TAF issuance...
The main aviation concern for the next 24 hours is low cigs
affecting some terminals through Tuesday morning. Currently have
gusty north winds areawide with low cigs moving in from the north.
MVFR cigs already affecting HOB with all but maybe PEQ following
suit over the next several hours. Expect low cigs to south of NM
terminals early Tuesday morning then all other sites by mid morning.
Otherwise, winds will remain elevated overnight and much of Tuesday
then diminish mid-late afternoon with skies clearing.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 143 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Upper low centered west of Childress will meander around W TX before
slowly wobbling to the east.  An upper ridge over the western U.S.
will build in behind the low and remain over the area the rest of
the week.  This ridge will result in warmer and dryer wx for the region.
However by this weekend another cut off low will develop off the CA
coast and could bring another round of storms next week as it moves
this direction.

Currently have a strong cold front moving through the area today
with a north wind spreading across the CWA.  Stronger gusts are just
beginning to move into the area as pressure gradient tightens.  May
approach high wind speeds tonight at GDP as the front squeezes
through the pass but not expecting to maintain for the time
requirement for a warning.

Good cold air advection will continue through the night but
increasing clouds will help keep temperatures from dropping too
far.  Readings at Marfa... Alpine... and Tatum should drop into the
30s the next couple of night but expecting they will stay above
freezing.  Highs Tuesday only make it back into the 60s as wind
remains out of the north.  Overall expect a warming trend to begin
Wednesday as 70s return with temperatures continue to climb through
the weekend.  Highs around 90 will be possible by Sunday.

This afternoon a large area of showers and storms continue to
wrap around the low.  May see some showers tonight move down into
the area as wrap around precip sags down into the area.  Best chance
of rain will be for the NE Permian Basin but could see some showers
as far west as Lea or Eddy county.  The low will be slow to exit the
area and may have a few lingering showers Tuesday morning over the
NE.  Rest of the week looks dry.  Low pops creep back into the
forecast early next week with the approach of the next upper low.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

27

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