Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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797
FXUS64 KMAF 110422
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1021 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2014

.UPDATE...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below. Also, have updated
fog trends overnight as well as confined overnight precipitation
mention to the Rio Grande Valley.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

An area of low stratus continues to slowly push west-northwest
across the area, currently overspreading the Permian Basin as well
as the Lower Trans Pecos, which is expected to limit overnight
fog development to some degree, particularly any dense fog. However,
for the Southeast New Mexico Plains and higher terrain to the west
and south where skies remain mostly clear, patchy dense fog is
expected to develop, with Guadalupe Pass already reporting
visibility of one quarter mile. Current thinking is that dense fog
will not be widespread, thus have held off on issuing a Dense Fog
Advisory. Visibility trends will bear watching overnight to
discern whether an Advisory may be needed later. Otherwise, no
other major changes to the forecast, aside from the removal of
isolated showers for all except for the Rio Grande Valley, where
the possibility for light precipitation remains overnight.

&&

.AVIATION...

IFR ceilings continue to spread west/northwestward, while fog
continues to develop under clear skies from KPEQ to KHOB and
westward.  Will carry IFR ceilings at all terminals through at least
11/15Z, and much  the same for fog except visibility could very well
be VLIFR.  Expect fog and low ceilings to mix out between 11/16Z and
11/19Z.  VFR conditions are expected Thursday afternoon, but more
low clouds and fog will likely form again Thursday night.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

67/84

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