Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Previous Version | Current Version | All | Graphics & Text | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

938
FXUS64 KMAF 282344
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
644 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected overall. Will have a few storms near MAF
through 01z that could have gusty outflows with blowing dust
producing brief MVFR vsbys.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 149 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Showers and storms continue to develop this afternoon in a couple of
clusters across our region. The first area is across the higher
terrain and is associated with the weakening upper low that has
moved into northern Mexico. These storms are producing some heavy
rain and should continue to move east into the evening hours. The
other main area of convection appears to be forming along a weak
boundary across the Permian Basin. These storms are moving very
slowly south and with daytime heating should continue to develop.
Some Hi-Res models show a thunderstorm complex forming near
Amarillo this afternoon and part of it moving south toward our
region overnight. Although this is a low probability, it is not
out of the question due to high amounts of moisture and some
instability across the region. Will leave at least some low PoPs
in tonight across the northern half of the area.

The upper ridge will return by midweek as it builds in from the
northwest, though mid level heights won`t be too high. Showers and
storms will stay mostly confined to the mountains tomorrow before
more extensive drying occurs areawide Thursday. The center of the
ridge moves southeast into central and southern Texas late this week
allowing for monsoonal moisture to spread across far West Texas and
New Mexico. Some of this moisture will spread east across the
Permian Basin this weekend so we could see an uptick in showers and
storms just in time for the July 4th holiday. Temperatures will
increase to near normal tomorrow through the end of the week. High
temperature guidance has come down slightly for this weekend, likely
due to increasing moisture. For now will stay on the conservative
side and continue to keep highs mostly in the 90`s to near 100.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     90  69  90  69 /  20  10  10   0
Carlsbad                       90  68  93  69 /  30  20  10  10
Dryden                         93  73  95  74 /  20  20  20  10
Fort Stockton                  90  69  90  70 /  20  20  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 80  64  85  66 /  40  20  10  10
Hobbs                          88  65  91  66 /  20  10  10  10
Marfa                          84  63  84  62 /  50  20  30  10
Midland Intl Airport           91  69  93  70 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         90  70  92  71 /  20  10  10   0
Wink                           92  69  93  70 /  20  10  10   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.