Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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984
FXUS64 KMAF 200836
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
336 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Will begin the day with an upper ridge over the area with an upper
low over Nrn CA.  This low will slowly wobble east as multiple lobes
rotate in behind it.  Even though most of the energy stays well
to the north this will put the region into SW flow aloft.

Still pretty moist this morning with dewpts in the 50s back to the
mountains... some stratus developing.  Some light fog has developed
along the TX/NM border under clear skies and light wind... not
expecting it to become dense but will continue to monitor it.  The
wind should remain out of the south today keeping moisture in the
area.  Dewpoints are actually expected to climb into the 60s
Saturday.  Leeside trough develops Saturday... west of the trough
the wind will have more of a SW component helping with the
development of a dryline.

Will have a little break from the recent wet wx today but will go
ahead and throw mention of isolated storms over the Davis Mtns this
afternoon.  Plan on increasing pops Saturday and Saturday night as
dryline ahead of trough will stay back to the west of MAF/ODO...
closer to INK.  Precip will shift east Sunday.  After that only low
pops the rest of the week.  On Saturday the slight risk is over the
Panhandle and just barely comes down to the northern CWA... while on
Sunday the eastern CWA is in a slight risk with supercell storms
possible as the dryline stays around.

Will have more sun than has been seen in days as temps climb into
the 80s and 90s today.  By early next week some locations along the
Rio Grande may reach the triple digits.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     85  64  87  67 /  10   0  10  30
Carlsbad                       89  59  93  58 /   0  10  20  10
Dryden                         85  68  89  71 /  10  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  89  65  91  68 /   0  10  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 83  60  83  57 /   0   0  10  10
Hobbs                          84  60  88  61 /   0   0  20  30
Marfa                          83  50  86  51 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           86  65  89  68 /   0   0  10  30
Odessa                         85  65  89  68 /   0   0  10  30
Wink                           89  64  92  65 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/72

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