Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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096
FXUS64 KMAF 012322
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
622 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF issuance
VFR conditions will prevail once again. Winds will quickly
decrease this evening with sunset, but will pick back up Wednesday
afternoon. Models are hinting at a low cloud deck invading the
Permian Basin by morning so have included a tempo at KMAF to
account for this possibility.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 230 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridging remains anchored over the region today with an upper
trough sitting just east over the SE half of TX. At the surface,
somewhat breezy conditions in place this afternoon as lee troughing
extends south through E NM and W TX. Expect gusts to diminish this
evening. Plenty of sunshine areawide allowing afternoon temperatures
to warm into the upper 80s and low 90s by 2pm CDT. Should see most
location reach into the low to mid 90s by the end of peak heating
today. Starting to see some cu developing near the Davis Mountains
via VIS satellite but so far it has remained quiet and rain-free.
Will keep mention of isolated storms possible through early evening
across these areas.

The upper ridge will slowly shift east through the week but continue
to maintain a fairly good grip on the region with little to no rain
chances for much of the area. The only exception may be for the
higher terrain regions to see a few isolated thunderstorms during
the afternoon hours. Temperatures will remain fairly constant and
near normal or slightly above normal with highs generally in the low
to mid 90s and lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Friday through the
weekend, SW flow aloft on the western periphery of the upper ridge
may allow for a higher chance for thunderstorms near the mountain
regions and portions of SE NM during this time. For now, will only
continue slight chance PoPs for these areas.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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