Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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549
FXUS64 KMAF 181936
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
236 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...As of 2:30 pm CDT...radar is indc a few light
showers in the northern CWA moving NE. Water vapor imagery is
showing a weak upper low in NE New Mexico moving NE.

Models develop an upper low over So Cal and drop it into NW Mexico
on Sunday...with a negatively tilted trough drawing in moisture.
After a mainly dry night tonight diffluent flow aloft on Sunday
will bring chc/slight chc showers and thunderstorms to the CWA.
The threat of showers/thunderstorms will continue in the western
PB westward Sunday night a a brief shortwave ridge pops up over
central TX. As the upper low opens into a wave and moves slowly
across northern Mexico/Texas the threat of showers/thunderstorms
will continue into Thursday. With the rain threat and extensive
cloud cover afternoon temps will be near normal.

Dry weather looks to return to the Region Thursday night and
continue through next weekend. A ridge will build into New
Mexico/West Texas from Arizona and Sonora as an upper low develops
and drops south to the Texas Gulf Coast. This will bring NE flow
aloft to the area resulting in dry and slightly warmer weather.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 54  73  56  72  /  10  30  20  40
BIG SPRING TX              56  74  58  76  /   0  30  10  30
CARLSBAD NM                53  72  56  72  /  20  20  30  40
DRYDEN TX                  64  77  64  78  /  30  30  10  40
FORT STOCKTON TX           58  76  59  74  /  10  20  20  50
GUADALUPE PASS TX          51  65  53  68  /  10  20  40  50
HOBBS NM                   49  73  54  71  /  10  20  20  40
MARFA TX                   47  74  50  69  /  10  20  40  60
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    55  75  58  74  /   0  30  10  40
ODESSA TX                  56  75  59  74  /   0  30  10  40
WINK TX                    58  75  61  75  /   0  30  20  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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