Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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772
FXUS64 KMAF 040945
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
445 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms that formed last night in SE New Mexico and the Upper
Trans Pecos and moved across the Permian Basin have dissipated for
the most part.  A few lingering remain in Presidio County and
continue into the morning hours.  Coverage of rain chances will be
less today than they were yesterday, but may still see some isolated
showers and thunderstorms with a theta-e axis over the Permian
Basin.  The best chance rain chances will be in the Davis Mountains
where there is better theta-e air and orographic lift will provide
support for thunderstorms.  Precipitable Water values of 1.0 to 1.5
inches will mean heavy rain may accompany any thunderstorms causing
localized flooding.  After today, the ridge begins to strengthen and
rain chances will quickly exit the majority of the area except for
the Davis Mountains where a few isolated showers may be possible
again tomorrow.

The rain that moved the through area should keep temperatures a
degree or two cooler today, but things will quickly heat up by
midweek.  Beginning Wednesday temperatures will climb back into the
100s for many locations as 850mb temps increase.  Rain chances will
also be hard to come by.  Thursday looks to be the hottest day of
the week with potential to be the hottest day of the year thus far
for Midland. If you are not a fan of 100 degree temperatures, the
rest of the week doesn`t look good.  Triple digit temps look to
stick around through Sunday. Similar story into early next week with
the persistent upper ridge centered over West Texas and eastern New
Mexico.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  98  74  99  75  /  20  10  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                   101  71 104  71  /  10  10  10   0
DRYDEN TX                     101  77 102  76  /  20  10   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX               99  73 100  73  /  40  20  10   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX              90  70  94  70  /  20  10  10   0
HOBBS NM                       98  70 100  69  /  10  10  10   0
MARFA TX                       89  61  93  61  /  40  30  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        99  75 102  75  /  20  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                     100  76 101  76  /  20  10   0   0
WINK TX                       103  76 104  75  /  20  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

29/06

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