Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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852
FXUS64 KMAF 261101
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
601 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected at all area terminals today and
tonight.  Will leave mention of TSRA out of all area sites since
the probability is too low.  This may change later today when
conditions are more certain.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 331 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016/

There is an outflow boundary moving into the northwestern CWA this
morning with a few showers developing just to its north...and this
highlights the problems with the PoP forecast the next several
days. Storms will be obviously concentrated in the higher
elevations, but other convection will form along outflow
boundaries whose locations will be impossible to determine more
than a few hours in advance. Therefore will continue to blanket
low PoPs across the area through Thursday then decrease into the
weekend. However the upper high will remain weak through the next
seven days, and with increasing temperatures by the weekend there
could be isolated to widely scattered storms beyond what is
currently in the forecast.

Models are in pretty good agreement that "cooler" air will be
advecting into the area with highs finally dropping below 100
again. Am a little skeptical that high temps will be as low as
guidance is showing some stations the next couple of days so
generally went near or slightly above MOS through the end of the
week.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     96  73  96  74 /  20  20  20  20
Carlsbad                       96  73  98  72 /  40  30  30  20
Dryden                         97  74  97  73 /  30  20  20  20
Fort Stockton                  96  73  95  72 /  30  30  20  20
Guadalupe Pass                 85  67  85  67 /  40  30  30  20
Hobbs                          93  69  94  69 /  30  30  20  20
Marfa                          87  66  87  64 /  40  30  30  20
Midland Intl Airport           98  72  96  73 /  20  20  20  20
Odessa                         97  72  95  73 /  20  30  20  20
Wink                           98  74  96  73 /  30  30  20  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/

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